Drafted premarket Tuesday, October 27, before the opening bell, after Monday’s close.
S&P 500 +0.7% · Nasdaq +0.8% · Dow +0.3% — Monday’s closes, percent only (Robinhood index quote; Investopedia).
Bitcoin’s Robinhood mark is $79,747.62 on Tuesday morning — back under $80,000 — S&P 500 futures were up just 0.05% at 5:17 AM ET, and nobody wants to move first: the Fed decides Wednesday, Alphabet and Microsoft report Wednesday, Amazon reports Thursday, and Meta just increased its largest-ever equity fundraising to $97.5 billion to fund AI expansion (Reuters).
The setup. Monday was a tech-led rally: the S&P 500 rose 0.70% to 7,676.77 (Robinhood index quote), the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.8% and the Dow rose 0.3% (Investopedia), with Robinhood’s ETF closes agreeing — SPY $765.29 (+0.70%), QQQ $712.12 (+1.10%) and DIA $522.97 (+0.31%). Anthropic’s public IPO filing helped lift AI-linked names on Monday (Investopedia; WSJ). Tuesday morning, that momentum is paused — at 5:17 AM ET, Dow E-minis were up 70 points (+0.14%), S&P 500 E-minis up 3.75 points (+0.05%) and Nasdaq 100 E-minis up 2 points (+0.01%) (Reuters). Crude oil was slightly higher, with Brent near its highest level since late April (Reuters). Crypto is not confirming any risk-on turn: Bitcoin’s mark was $79,747.62 early Tuesday — under the $80,000 line again — and Ether’s mark was $2,310.20. The VIX sat at 17.83 on Tuesday morning (Robinhood).
Why it moved. Monday’s Mag 7 split tells the story (Robinhood official closes): Tesla $391.69 (+5.23%) paced the group, with Nvidia $215.99 (+2.38%) and Microsoft $532.75 (+1.57%) behind it; Amazon $249.01 (+0.41%) edged up while Meta $630.47 (-1.89%), Apple $343.98 (-1.08%) and Alphabet $316.89 (-1.04%) fell. Tuesday premarket is a partial follow-through (Robinhood extended hours vs Monday’s closes): Tesla $396.46 (+1.22%) and Nvidia $217.63 (+0.76%), while Microsoft $529.40 (-0.63%), Apple $342.95 (-0.30%) and Meta $629.64 (-0.13%) sit red — Meta flat after increasing its largest-ever equity fundraising to $97.5 billion to fund AI expansion (Reuters), the day before the Fed decides and two of the hyperscalers report.
Tuesday’s earnings. Before the open, Coca-Cola beat ($0.91 vs $0.88 estimated), PayPal beat ($1.45 vs $1.31), UPS beat ($1.69 vs $1.63) and Corning beat ($0.91 vs $0.88); Sherwin-Williams missed ($3.63 vs $3.68) and Whirlpool dropped 8.8% premarket after a third-quarter loss and a revenue miss (Robinhood earnings calendar; Reuters). Boeing (estimated -$0.20) was still pending at pull time. After the close: Visa ($3.44 estimated), Robinhood ($0.56), Seagate ($7.36), F5 ($4.07) and Enphase ($0.44).
What to watch today. All session: whether the frozen futures (+0.14% / +0.05% / +0.01% at 5:17 AM ET, Reuters) break on Tuesday’s earnings digest, and whether Bitcoin reclaims $80,000. After the close: Visa and Robinhood report, in a week where 163 S&P 500 companies post third-quarter results (CoinCentral). Wednesday, October 28: the Federal Reserve’s rate decision (a hold at 3.75%–4.00% is widely expected, Reuters; about 90% odds per CME via CoinCentral), plus Alphabet and Microsoft earnings after the close; Amazon follows Thursday (Investopedia).
The OnDeck Book
Trading day change +2.75% and Agentic +0.58% (Monday session, Robinhood); Tuesday premarket extended-hours equity was +0.95% vs Monday's core close on this run's pull. Positions (Monday official closes, Robinhood): SPCX 150 shares, avg $132.13, close $146.90 (-0.40%), +11.18% vs avg cost, unrealized +$2,215.47. SOFI 200 shares, avg $17.10, close $14.47 (-1.03%), -15.40% vs avg, unrealized -$526.50. QUBT 700 shares, avg $8.21, close $6.42 (-2.13%), -21.80% vs avg, unrealized -$1,253.00. Options (marks at Monday's close, Robinhood): SPCX $152.50 calls expiring Oct 28 — 11 long, clearing cost $1,960 total ($1.78 per share) vs a $0.70 mark, market value $770.00; NVDA $215 calls expiring Oct 28 — 5 long, clearing cost $935 total ($1.87 per share) vs a $3.08 mark, market value $1,540.00; NVDA $215 calls expiring Nov 4 — 2 long, clearing cost $880 total ($4.40 per share) vs a $5.53 mark, market value $1,106.00; SPCX $148 calls expiring Nov 6 — 2 long, clearing cost $1,100 total ($5.50 per share) vs a $5.00 mark, market value $1,000.00. Futures: none — fully closed Oct 22 (web-verified); API aggregate futures market value $0. Crypto: ETH 3.6 coins, clearing cost basis $8,608.00, mark $2,310.20 (Robinhood crypto quote, ~7:20 AM ET), indicative value $8,316.73; dust: DOGE 1.0, USDC 0.00993, CC 1.0.
Account totals at the pull: total equity $61,590.39, core portfolio equity $52,781.49 (extended-hours equity $53,280.32), buying power $34,546.97, cash $18,943.49.
Updated Oct 28 with verified figures.